Local Real Estate News
Wednesday, August 11th, 2010
Rogue Housing Market Still Recalibrating to the New Abnormal

The Twin Cities housing market has found itself in a bit of a holding pattern in recent months, and July is no exception. The $175,000 median sales price was a 2.3 percent increase over July 2009. Pending sales in July were down 37.6 percent compared to last year, which is certainly less than ideal but expected. Due to weakened buyer demand, inventory grew modestly to 27,249 active listings, an increase of 5.4 percent over last year.

Demand has stabilized and should slowly return in the coming months. We hope that it returns to the market before prices have a chance to respond to the growing inventory.

Traditional sellers enjoyed a 5.0 percent price increase to $222,500, foreclosure prices remained flat at $119,000 and short sales posted a 3.5 percent price gain to $147,000. The traditional and foreclosure submarkets had a significant decline in pending sales, while short sales actually had a small increase. There were 3,226 signed purchase agreements in July, a decrease of 1,948 contracts from last July. Seller activity also slowed, with 6,926 new properties coming onto the market.

graph of home sales in twin cities, minnesota

All active listings experienced a minor spike. The supply-demand ratio increased 63.5 percent to 8.64, primarily due to declining demand and not a surplus of new product. This means that there are about 8.6 homes available per buyer for August.

Although the tax credit ended over three months ago, its negative externalities are finally beginning to pass. March and April enjoyed a big boost in sales performance at the cost of May, June, July, and most likely several additional months.

The economy is currently driving the housing market and not vice versa. The housing sector once generated corresponding construction, manufacturing and other jobs which in turn fueled economic growth. That hasn't been the case of late.

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Monday, August 9th, 2010
Weekly Market Report 8.09.2010

For the week ending July 31, New Listings in the Twin Cities region were down 4.3 percent from last year, with 1,566 new properties coming onto the market. Pending Sales were down 34.3 percent from a year ago, as 651 purchase agreements were signed.

Over the last three months, there have been 13.4 fewer new listings than there were during the same period a year ago and 38.7 percent fewer pendings. This means increasing inventory. There were 27,627 Active Listings for Sale as of August 9, up 6.6 percent from the same point in 2009.

The growth in inventory, combined with slowed sales demand, means that the number of homes available per buyer in August has jumped to 8.64, up dramatically from the mark of 5.28 seen a year ago.

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report.

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Tuesday, August 3rd, 2010
Weekly Market Report 8.02.2010

Whether May or June or July, we're finding it difficult to report anything new to you for the warm weather months of 2010. Week-in and week-out, we're showing a recurring pattern of behavior in the Twin Cities housing market, and the week ending July 24 isn't much different. Pending Sales are at 628 for the week, down 37.8 percent compared to last year, and Active Listings for Sale are at 27,661, up 5.4 percent.

These percentage changes represent a bit of a holding pattern. In fact, we've been here since the expiration of the tax credit. There was a minor bump in Active Listings but it wasn't sufficient to convince us that we're heading toward another oversupply situation.

Days on Market and Months Supply of Inventory continue to indicate a favorable market for home buyers. But with interest rates remaining at historic lows, there appears to be no sense of urgency. We may see a minor kerfuffle in the market before the school year begins, but 1,000-plus pendings per week in August doesn't seem likely, let alone 800.

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report.

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Monday, July 26th, 2010
Weekly Market Report 7.26.2010

It’s been almost 3 months since the expiration of the federal home buyer tax credit and the market appears to have settled into something of a rhythm. With the dust settling, pending sales have become mostly fixed in the 500-to-600 per week range for the past 9 weeks.

While the dramatic drop from a year ago is certainly not positive, demand is at least holding relatively steady for the time being. The 626 purchase agreements signed for the week ending July 17 were 39.7 percent behind a year ago.For the same reporting week there were 1,618 new listings in the Twin Cities, down 10.0 percent from a year ago.

Inventory is rising due to slower demand. The 27,350 homes currently available for sale represent an increase of 4.8 percent from last year.

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report.

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Monday, July 19th, 2010
Weekly Market Report 7.19.2010

For the week ending July 10, the number of pending sales held steady with the week before but remained well behind last year's pace. The 545 signed agreements during the week represent a drop of 45.9 percent from last year at this time. That's the tenth consecutive week of year-over-year declines in buyer demand, a period that coincides with the loss of the federal tax credit for first-time home buyers.

The 1,542 new listings for the most recent reporting week are also down compared to last year but not to the extent of pendings, posting a decline of 17.4 percent from a year ago.

Inventory is up 4.4 percent from a year ago. Because the growing inventory is being greeted with slim buyer demand, the balance of buyers and sellers is shifting the market back in the buyer's favor. The July Supply-Demand Ratio of 7.44 means that there are 7.44 houses for each buyer this month, up 46.9 percent from the mark of 5.06 seen a year ago.

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report.

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Wednesday, July 14th, 2010
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Wednesday, July 7th, 2010
Weekly Market Report 7.06.2010

The post-tax credit malaise continues as the Twin Cities housing market comes to grips with the new normal. Pending Sales for the week ending June 26 were down 47.6 percent versus 2009 numbers from 1,121 a year ago to 587 now. New Listings are also down from a year ago, though not to the same extreme as Pending Sales, only dropping 6.5 percent from a year ago.

With demand weakening faster than new supply, the inventory of available homes is starting to grow. The current count of 27,526 homes is 3.2 percent higher than at this time last year.

The slight growth in total inventory is happening in the face of dropping demand, which means that the balance between buyers and sellers is shifting back in the buyer's favor. This is reflected in July's Supply Demand Ratio of 7.44, which was a ginormous 46.9 percent over last July and means that there are 7.44 homes available for each buyer during the month of July.

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report.

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Tuesday, June 22nd, 2010
Weekly Market Report 6.21.2010

Pending sales in the Twin Cities housing market trended up for the first time in four weeks but remain substantially below 2009. For the week ending June 12 there were 674 signed purchase agreements, up from the mark of 527 the prior week but down dramatically from the mark of 1,210 seen during the same week a year ago.

This may be a sign that the drastic drops in sales seen in May and early June were simply temporary aftershock reactions to the tax-credit build up and that demand will slowly return over the course of the summer, but it’s far too early to say that with any certainty. We’ll be keeping a close eye on the numbers each week.

New listings moved upward for the same reporting week to 1,729, but remain 12.2 percent behind last year at this time. However, inventory has slowly climbed due to the decline in pending sales, currently sitting at 26,990 active listings, an increase of 1.1 percent from a year ago.

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report.

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Wednesday, June 16th, 2010
Weekly Market Report 6.14.2010

Remember how we've been saying that the Twin Cities housing market has been getting successively slower in home sales every week since the tax credit ended? Umm, yeah, well that's still happening.

Pending sales for the week ending June 5 were 57.0 percent behind the pace seen a year ago, dropping from 1,226 in 2009 to 527 today. This is the fifth consecutive week-to-week drop in signed contracts. While activity is down across the board, lender-mediated foreclosures and short sales are slowly increasing their market share of sales because traditional home sales have declined sharply. During this week last year, 37.8 percent of pending sales were lender-mediated; this year the share is 43.3 percent.

Thankfully, new supply is not growing in lock-step. The 1,521 new homes placed on the market for the most recent reporting week were 29.6 percent less than last year at this time. This has helped keep the Months Supply of Inventory metric at 6.9 months, down 9.3 percent from May 2009.

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report.

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Tuesday, June 8th, 2010
Weekly Market Report 6.07.2010

As the weeks following the tax credit expiration unfold, buyer demand continues to slow. The 600 purchase agreements signed for the week ending May 29 were 34.6 percent below the previous year—the fourth consecutive week of year-over-year decline in Pending Sales.

Refreshed supply is also in decline, as New Listings posted a fifth consecutive week of year-over-year decline, landing at 1,474 for the most recent reporting week—a 5.9 percent decrease from a year ago.

Two other metrics for this week:

Days on Market – This stat continues its year-over-year downward trend, resting at 118 days for May 2010.

Percentage of Original List Price Received – This continues to grow, up 2.8 percent above last year at this time to 94.1 percent of the list price.

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report.

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